Diurnal Cycle of Winter Season Temperature Errors paper published in GRL

Our research utilizing a relational database of matched weather forecasts and observations has been published in the AGU journal Geophysics Research Letters. (link to article)
We evaluated the output from weather forecast models compared to observations at 210 airports across the United States during the November 2019 to March 2020 winter season. We focused on near-surface air temperature errors in the Global Forecast System (GFS) and High- Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) weather models for different times of day and subsets of observed weather conditions. The GFS is 1°C too warm at night and 2°C too cold during the day in conditions with <= 50% and <= 25% cloud cover. The daily high and low temperatures have smaller errors in the HRRR model, which has different algorithms than the GFS model. Model refinement and development efforts would benefit from a focus on accurate representation of the diurnal cycle of temperatures as this basic characteristic of weather can reveal strengths and weaknesses in the model physics. Continue reading “Diurnal Cycle of Winter Season Temperature Errors paper published in GRL”

Undergraduates present posters at 2019 AMS Annual Meeting

Undergraduate research assistants Daniel Hueholt, Lindsay Hochstatter and Ronak Patel presented posters on their research at the American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting in Phoenix, AZ on 6 Jan 2019. Research topics were: the motion of cloud-clearing boundaries in the southeast Atlantic, velocity waves in Colorado snowstorms, and the variability of the urban heat island in Raleigh, NC.

2017 Summer Research Symposium


Luke Allen, Levi Lovell and Daniel Hueholt presented posters on their research at the North Carolina State University Summer Undergraduate Research Symposium.
Laura Tomkins and Emma Scott served as mentors for all three students.